Week 23: Sorry Grandpa
The playoffs ended for Michael and Dave this past weekend.
Michael’s tribute to former league member, Billy Pelham (RIP Grandpa), came up
0.00006 (0.23622 vs 0.23616) batting average points short resulting in a tie. The tiebreaker came down to Michael and
Arthur’s week 8 matchup when Michael’s team wasn’t any good yet and Arthur had
a pitching weekend for the ages (that was the 26 IP/2 ER Saturday). Dave ran
into a Monster in Brian and Josh last week. Team BJ figured something out the
week before and kept it going. Dave made it close on Sunday but just wasn’t
enough. Arthur’s team name taunts and bullying remarks are rewarded with a trip
to the Championship. BJ, hope you won’t be ‘scared’ to start any of your
pitchers or not have ‘faith’ in them to get the job done.
Turning our eyes to the Bourbon Street Championship. Let’s
talk about the email chain from last week. I did some research into the
first (and in one case, second) overall
pick since we went to the system where
there was a contest for said number one pick. I checked out who each
manager took, where that manager finished that year, how that number one
overall pick performed that year, and who the notable 1st-ish round
keepers were that were unavailable to be picked. Here were the results:
|
|
|
|
Stats
that year
|
|
||||
Year
|
First Pick
|
Manager
|
Finish
|
R
|
RBI
|
HR
|
SB
|
AVG
|
First (or so) Round Keepers
|
2017
|
Mike Trout (injury shortened)
|
Max
|
10th
|
84
|
63
|
28
|
21
|
316
|
George Springer, Mookie Betts,
Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Nolan Arenado, Corey Seager, Manny Machado, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Correa |
2016
|
Paul Goldschmidt
|
Dave
|
4th
|
106
|
95
|
24
|
32
|
309
|
Josh Donaldson, Nolan Arenado,
George Springer,
Nelson Cruz, Kris Bryant, Mookie Betts, Anthony Rizzo, Carlos Correa, Manny Machado |
2015
|
Andrew McCutchen (1st
pick)
|
Max
|
10th
|
91
|
96
|
23
|
11
|
292
|
Bryce Harper, Chris Sale,
Mike Trout, Mookie Betts, Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu, Josh Donaldson |
2015
|
Miguel Cabrera (2nd
pick) (injury shortened)
|
Arthur
|
2nd
|
64
|
76
|
18
|
1
|
338
|
|
2014
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
Arthur
|
9th
|
101
|
109
|
25
|
1
|
313
|
Paul Goldschmidt, Madison
Bumgarner, Max Scherzer,
Mike Trout, Chris Sale, Edwin Encarnacion |
2013
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
Waring
|
3rd
|
103
|
137
|
44
|
3
|
348
|
Bryce Harper, Mike Trout,
Edwin Encarnacion, Max Scherzer |
2012
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
Marcley
|
6th
|
109
|
139
|
44
|
4
|
330
|
Felix Hernandez, Jose Bautista
Clayton Kershaw, Giancarlo Stanton |
You can see the only person who really has anything to
complain about was Max, who in 2015 had a way underperforming Andrew McCutchen.
But yeah, Miguel Cabrera was deeeeeefinitely in decline these year, so much so
that in 2016 after he wasn’t the number one overall pick anymore he hit 38 HRs
with a .316 AVG and finished in the top 11 of MVP voting all these years… You
can also see, there really isn’t much of a correlation between picking number
one overall and end of year finish, that is because there is so much going on
throughout the fantasy season, one player does not make or break your team. But
wouldn’t you want a modern-day Mike Trout or 2012-to-2016 Miguel Cabrera
compared to someone later in the first round on your team to anchor you?
Another topic to consider for next year’s draft is all the studs that are
re-entering the draft pool from 3 years of being kept: Mookie Betts, Anthony
Rizzo, George Springer, Nelson Cruz. Next year’s early draft picks will be more
filled with talent than recent years. Point is, you want the high-end draft
picks; but yeah, it’s not the end of the world if you don’t get it…leading me
to my next point.
Another hot topic was about waiting until mid-morning to
make pickups. I had a number of conversations about this last week. Here’s the
thing, all of you in the BSC and now Dave and I in the 3rd place
game are playing for ourselves and our status for next year’s draft…it’s
wonderful. I love it. It’s great for the league to have the BSC tournament. But
the teams in last week’s championship semi-finals and now the championship
matchup are playing for glory. They’re playing for their name on the trophy…the
championship ‘flag.’ The championship is more important guys, it just is. I really
don’t like making superfluous rules, it’s one of the annoying things about the
commissioner’s job; but to protect the league as a whole and the integrity of
that championship bracket I’m making a proclamation, BJ and Arthur get priority
selection on player pickups until 10 AM each day. After that anyone can go
crazy. If I see any pickups before then I’m going to put them back on free
agency. Starting tomorrow morning I will do this…and if I have to do it more
than 1 time, I’m going to lock your team.
OK back to the fun stuff. The status of the BSC through Week
1:
Manager
|
r
|
h
|
hr
|
rbi
|
sb
|
bb
|
k
|
avg
|
|
w
|
s
|
er
|
k
|
era
|
whip
|
Dean
|
46
|
76
|
11
|
37
|
8
|
31
|
37
|
0.314
|
|
1
|
5
|
50
|
89
|
5.42
|
1.31
|
Keith
|
40
|
73
|
11
|
37
|
9
|
15
|
44
|
0.281
|
|
6
|
0
|
7
|
39
|
1.30
|
0.83
|
Paul
|
41
|
74
|
10
|
37
|
3
|
21
|
69
|
0.281
|
|
3
|
5
|
16
|
45
|
3.63
|
1.24
|
Cory
|
31
|
59
|
11
|
24
|
4
|
24
|
63
|
0.244
|
|
3
|
3
|
15
|
54
|
2.72
|
1.31
|
Matt
|
23
|
63
|
4
|
28
|
4
|
20
|
52
|
0.270
|
|
1
|
0
|
11
|
27
|
3.96
|
1.28
|
Max
|
34
|
57
|
16
|
30
|
6
|
30
|
45
|
0.259
|
|
2
|
2
|
12
|
35
|
3.15
|
1.19
|
BSC Standing
|
|||
1
|
Dean
|
2.4286
|
|
2
|
Keith
|
2.4286
|
|
3
|
Paul
|
3.2857
|
|
4
|
Max
|
3.5000
|
|
5
|
Cory
|
3.8571
|
|
6
|
Matt
|
4.6429
|
Remember, all stats just carry over for these two weeks, so
Keith’s big W lead, and Dean’s huge ER totals keep adding. Also remember you
need to hit 30 IPs each week to qualify. Matt, you only got 25 innings last
week but I didn’t really notice last week to notify you and this is all in fun
now any way so I’ll let you get a pass and ask that you get 35 innings this
coming week to stay qualified.
The blog intro went a little differently than I intended as
of last week, so I’ll have to cut the year-end recaps short. Here’s the gist:
Dean was awesome, deserved a playoff spot, but instead will have to get by with
some great Floored-All-Star keepers for the draft next year. His block of
keeping Michael from getting Elvis Andrus earlier in the season was one of the
great all time moves, in retrospect. Keith made some good aggressive trades but
just didn’t have a deep enough team to put up consistent numbers. Paul’s drops
this year of Marcell Ozuna, Ender Inciarte, and Justin Verlander will also be a
big takeaway from the year. These guys fueled playoff team runs all summer.
Cory caught the injury bug early which just kept happening all year (see:
Michael Conforto) and had some major keeper-player regression. Chalk it up and
try again next year, 2016 champ. Matt made a fantastic add of Cody Bellinger
when everyone else wrote him off to be headed back to AAA. In his first year in
the league Matt showed some potential to make big moves next year, he’ll just
need to stick with it all summer. Max played a legendarily tough schedule this
year. He finished the year 5th in the power rankings and should hold
his head high. Pulling the wool over Dean’s eyes in a keeper trade is a nice
feather in the cap too. Maybe that Alex Bregman at pick 41 was not the best
idea though ;-)
One more week, guys. It’s almost over.
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