2019 Kickoff: Keeper Trading Landscape
Michael was in South Florida
this weekend, Max came by to hold baby George. George looks less than entused
about it.
Welcome to Floored Fantasy
Baseball League, 2019! Yahoo has opened up the fantasy suite and we are locked
and loaded for another year. So let’s dig in. We’ll talk more logistics and
maybe some rule changes closer to March, but today, its all about keeper
trading.
You know the drill by now.
You can keep up to three players from your last year’s end of season roster and
control up to four (as in you can trade away one player and keep three players,
or trade away two and trade for one to keep three, etc). Anybody not drafted in
the top 12 rounds is kept in the 11th round, everyone else is kept 2
rounds earlier than the round they were drafted. A player can only be kept for
3 years (Machado, Lindor, Correa, Pollock, Syndergaard are re-entering the
draft pool this year).
We have been doing keeper
trading since 2016. There have been varying levels of fireworks each year, but
there’s always something to talk about. Based on the Yahoo Ranks that just came
out, I put together each team’s best projected keepers. Note, none of these
ranks account for our scoring system. Paul’s Josh Hader is ranked 124 by yahoo,
making him a negative keeper value in the 11th round…but Hader would
probably be a top 10 round pick if he makes it back to the draft pool. So, of
course, use this list as a guide, not a be all, end all.
This is what the keeper
landscape is looking like this year:
|
Manager
|
Player
|
2019 Y! pre rank round
|
2019 round keepable
|
Rounds of value
|
|
Manager
|
Player
|
2019 Y! pre rank round
|
2019 round keepable
|
Rounds of value
|
|
Arthur
|
Aaron Judge
|
2
|
9
|
7
|
|
Keith
|
Nicholas Castellanos
|
8
|
11
|
3
|
|
Arthur
|
Gleyber Torres
|
6
|
11
|
5
|
|
Keith
|
Scooter Gennett
|
8
|
11
|
3
|
|
Arthur
|
Patrick Corbin
|
8
|
11
|
3
|
|
Keith
|
Zack Greinke
|
7
|
9
|
2
|
|
BJ
|
Jose Ramirez
|
1
|
9
|
8
|
|
Matt
|
Javier Baez
|
3
|
11
|
8
|
|
BJ
|
Jack Flaherty
|
7
|
11
|
4
|
|
Matt
|
Trevor Story
|
3
|
11
|
8
|
|
BJ
|
Marcell Ozuna
|
6
|
9
|
3
|
|
Matt
|
Cody Bellinger
|
5
|
10
|
5
|
|
BJ
|
Blake Treinen
|
8
|
11
|
3
|
|
Matt
|
Mitch Haniger
|
7
|
11
|
4
|
|
Cory
|
Gerrit Cole
|
4
|
11
|
7
|
|
Matt
|
Matt Chapman
|
9
|
11
|
2
|
|
Cory
|
Trea Turner
|
1
|
7
|
6
|
|
Max
|
Ronald Acuna
|
1
|
10
|
9
|
|
Cory
|
Rhys Hoskins
|
4
|
9
|
5
|
|
Max
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
|
5
|
11
|
6
|
|
Cory
|
Matt Carpenter
|
7
|
11
|
4
|
|
Max
|
Luis Severino
|
4
|
9
|
5
|
|
Cory
|
Justin Verlander
|
3
|
5
|
2
|
|
Max
|
Eddie Rosario
|
6
|
11
|
5
|
|
Dave
|
Aaron Nola
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
|
Max
|
Daniel Murphy
|
7
|
9
|
2
|
|
Dave
|
Jesus Aguilar
|
8
|
11
|
3
|
|
Michael
|
Juan Soto
|
3
|
11
|
8
|
|
Dave
|
Miguel Andujar
|
9
|
11
|
2
|
|
Michael
|
Tommy Pham
|
8
|
10
|
2
|
|
Dean
|
Blake Snell
|
3
|
11
|
8
|
|
Paul
|
Walker Buehler
|
4
|
11
|
7
|
|
Dean
|
Trevor Bauer
|
6
|
11
|
5
|
|
Paul
|
Eugenio Suarez
|
6
|
11
|
5
|
|
Dean
|
Whit Merrifield
|
4
|
6
|
2
|
|
Paul
|
Lorenzo Cain
|
5
|
9
|
4
|
|
Dean
|
James Paxton
|
6
|
8
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A ton of observations to get
to here so let’s go group by group.
The teams set up well: Cory
has 4 players with 4 or more rounds of value and a stud in Justin Verlander
that probably won’t even be kept. Matt is in very good shape as well with 2 of
the top 6 keepers in the entire league (based on their number of rounds of
value) and two other players with at least 4 rounds of value. Max has 4 players
with **5** round of value including a top-2-overall keeper in sir Ronald Acuna.
These three teams will be in great position to set the trading market because
they have the assets to spare.
The teams in good shape:
Arthur is looking good with high end talent like Aaron Judge but only has 3
good looking keepers as of right now; BJ has the other top-2 keeper in Jose
Ramirez and 3 other players with 3 rounds of value, they could make a case to
belong more in the top tier than here in the middle; Paul will likely be led by
a solid keeper in Walker Bueler and also has two more players with 4 rounds of
value…Mr. Hader not even being on this list; Keith has 2 players with 3 rounds
of value without having a star to anchor the team but will still be in good
shape on draft day, he may be more deserving to be in the next grouping of
managers but you’ll read in a moment why I’m putting him at the bottom of this
list instead of the top of the next.
The teams with improvements
to make: the manager names on this list will probably be the biggest surprise:
Michael, Dean, and Dave are not in very good shape heading into the year.
Michael really only has Juan Soto entering this year, he will be very active in
the trade market; Dean’s best two keepers are starting pitchers…and we know how
much he believes in them after not drafting one until the 9th round
last year…I’d bet Dean is more likely to turn his high end keepers in for picks
than to keep them. Dave is probably hurting the most, without a high end keeper
or the depth that other teams have, Dave will need to make savvy moves up to
and including draft day to catch up to the field.
On to a reminder of the
logistics:
Keeper trades can happen
anytime between now and 3 days before the draft. Here is an excerpt from our
rules document:
a.
A team may control up to 4 players from their end
of season roster
b.
Control of these players can either be performed
via trading them away or via keeping them through KEEPER MANAGEMENT rules.
c.
As per KEEPER MANAGEMENT rules, no more than 3
players can be kept.
d.
When receiving draft picks via trade, a team can
hold at any one time:
i.Six (6) top five round picks
ii.Seven (7) picks in rounds six
through ten
iii.Unlimited picks beyond round
ten
All keeper trades will go
through bidding wars, any bidding wars will be handled in March.
That’s all for now, let the
keeper trading begin!
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