Week 14: Chaos and an Updated Expected Week Wins Methodology

 

Arthur and Michael both just got back from Mexico with Arthur traveling to Cabo with the whole family whereas Michael and Amina left the Minions with Nisee and Poppy for a few days. Michael and Amina barely got out of town before Beryl entered the chat, but Arthur took a way more fun selfie.

• Three straight weeks now with no team having a year to date power rank in the 3s. There is no excellent team right now, just teams with hot and cold streaks trying to find their footing. Speaking of hot and cold teams...
• There really aren't any tiers in the power ranks anymore. Chaos, I tell you.
• Expected Week Wins underwent some more construction this week with Robert now showing a better number for EWW than Cory's monstrous week in week 13 (Cory's week 13 has an 11.44 rating). Cory's offense was better in week 13 than Robert's was in week 14...but only barely. In week 14, Robert's pitching was in the 95th percentile or better for every pitching category including a 1.43 ERA and 12 SVH AND his offense was excellent. This means that Robert's week 14 pitching outputs would have beaten 95% of every teams pitching outputs all year. Cory's week 13 hitting was really only great at Home Runs and AVG and he only threw 60 innings which kept his K and QS and NW volume down. Alas, Robert's week is the best of the best...right now.
• A careful eye might note that the sum of expected week wins is not adding to 70 for all teams which it should if every team put up an average week (this week's sum is ~77). This is because our outputs slightly outperformed the year to date averages which are a major factor in the EWW value. Checking previous weeks, the sums are averaging out to be right around 70. This is a good sign for checking the accuracy of this method...ok back to the non-nerdy stuff.
• Arthur continued his summer swoon putting up on only 5.10 EWW value. He's ripe for a bounce back and his favorite opponent is up on the schedule.
• Paul bounced back from his "Vanderbilt" week against BJ to hand it to Dean. Paul had a 3.73 EWW rating last week with the new methodology but had a huge jump to his 8.88 this week. Props to Pops.
• Keith, having not gotten the needed pep talk from Max, continued to fall down the ranks with a 5.71 Expected Week Wins value
• Max showed Dave who was boss even though both of them had pretty good weeks with a EWW above 8.5. Max is in cruise control.